Friday, August 21, 2009

Turn up the heat, we've got them on the run!

Charlie Cook: Dem situation has 'slipped completely out of control'


Charlie Cook, one of the best political handicappers in the business, sent out a special update to Cook Political Report subscribers Thursday that should send shivers down Democratic spines.

Reviewing recent polling and the 2010 election landscape, Cook can envision a scenario in which Democratic House losses could exceed 20 seats.

"These data confirm anecdotal evidence, and our own view, that the situation this summer has slipped completely out of control for President Obama and Congressional Democrats. Today, The Cook Political Report’s Congressional election model, based on individual races, is pointing toward a net Democratic loss of between six and 12 seats, but our sense, factoring in macro-political dynamics is that this is far too low," he wrote.

"Many veteran Congressional election watchers, including Democratic ones, report an eerie sense of déjà vu, with a consensus forming that the chances of Democratic losses going higher than 20 seats is just as good as the chances of Democratic losses going lower than 20 seats."

Cook scrupulously avoided any mention that Democratic control of the House is in jeopardy but, noting a new Gallup poll showing Congress’ job disapproval at 70 percent among independents, concluded that the post-recess environment could feel considerably different than when Congress left in August.

"We believe it would be a mistake to underestimate the impact that this mood will have on Members of Congress of both parties when they return to Washington in September, if it persists through the end of the Congressional recess."

5 comments:

Right-Wing Libertarian said...

I hope the guy who takes the gavel away from Pelosi in 2010, thunks her in the head with it before she heads out the door!

VoteNovember2008 said...

Winger, that's a gentlemanly thing to say, I'm not that nice! VN8

Lee said...

And BO was supposed to be a genius. A master politician. The ONE!

Well, let's not count our chickens just yet cause it ain't over. The Dems could do this with no GOP help but that's highly unlikely.

VoteNovember2008 said...

Lee, my sentiments exactly! Turn up the heat. VN8

Right-Wing Libertarian said...

Well said, Lee ... it's not "over" for the libs ... but we need to use the "Think And Grow Rich" principle and we need to act as if we're already there! But never take the pressure off!